Brexit - Qué nos espera?

Once flagged as the moment when a Brexit deal could start coming together, a lunch between Prime Minister Theresa May and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker in Brussels on Monday won’t be the breakthrough some hoped as recently as a week ago. U.K. officials are managing down expectations. It’s not just that a deal on the Irish border remains elusive. The issue of what role the European Court of Justice can have post-Brexit has re-emerged as a major stumbling block after a weekend of intense back-and-forth, according to people on both sides. The ECJ has totemic importance for the Brexit backers in May’s Conservative Party, who see it as a symbol of lost sovereignty. On the EU side, it’s a possible deal-breaker as the veto-wielding European Parliament has made clear the court must have a role in protecting the rights of EU citizens living in the U.K. after Brexit. May is ready to compromise, enraging some party members, but her offer may not go far enough for the...

La primera ministra británica, Theresa May, a su llegada ayer al palacio real de Ammán para entrevistarse con Abdalá de Jordania.  La emigración a Reino Unido registra una caída anual récord tras el Brexit PABLO GUIMÓN, Londres. El Bréxodo ha comenzado. La inmigración neta en Reino Unido ha sufrido la mayor caída anual, desde que existen registros, en los 12 meses después de que los británicos decidieran en referéndum abandonar la Unión Europea. La bajada, según estadísticas oficiales publicadas ayer, obedece al descenso en las llegadas y el aumento en las partidas de ciudadanos europeos. Desde el pico histórico de 336.000 personas del final de junio de 2016, la inmigración neta ¿personas que llegan menos las que se van cayó a las 230.000 en junio pasado. Tres cuartas partes de esa caída de 106.000, la mayor desde 1964, corresponde a ciudadanos de la UE. El número de europeos que ha abandonado Reino Unido en el año posterior al referéndum del 23 de junio de 2016 ha c...

Theresa May is surrounded . Even on her own side she has Brexit hardliners pushing her to be bolder, Europhiles wanting her to go softer, and a growing list of lawmakers who want her gone. All this as her key Brexit legislation goes to Parliament, where the fragility of her minority government will be plain to see. That weakness is underlined today as the opposition Labour Party offers her a deal, Bloomberg’s Rob Hutton reports. Telling her she doesn’t “have the authority” to deliver an exit deal that protects jobs and the economy, Labour’s Brexit spokesman Keir Starmer said May should work with the “sensible majority” in Parliament pushing for a two-year transition. There are plenty of her own Tories in that group. A looming deadline to make a deal with Europe looks increasingly out of reach, and EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier is talking openly of planning for talks to break down without a deal. That raises the prospect of Brexit being off the agenda at December’s cruci...

Desperate for a deal in December, David Davis is turning to diplomacy. The Brexit secretary plans a series of meetings with senior officials from Germany and elsewhere in a new diplomatic push to win over European leaders and unblock exit talks, Bloomberg’s Tim Ross reports. There’s concern on the U.K. side that some member states don’t fully appreciate the scale of Prime Minister Theresa May’s efforts so far, according to a person familiar with the matter. Talks are stuck on the issue of the divorce bill. The EU wants about 60 billion euros (£53 billion; $70 billion); May has made clear so far that she’s prepared to pay about a third of that and is going through other claims “line by line.”  The EU wants more movement from the U.K. before it will agree to start talking about the crucial trade and transition arrangements that will be needed in just 17 months. May has already taken a politically risky leap – plenty of voters oppose paying a big bill – and the U.K. side ...

Los Veintisiete hacen un gesto a Londres al prometer analizar ya la relación futura El impulso dado para desencallar el Brexit no puede enmascarar el principal escollo en el camino: la disputada factura de salida que tendrá que pagar Reino Unido. Los jefes de Estado y de Gobierno de la Unión Europea han querido tender la mano a la primera ministra británica, Theresa May, pero advirtiendo de que, en la concreción de las cuentas, queda todo por hacer. “Ofrecí un compromiso firme”, ha alegado May tras la cumbre europea concluida este viernes en Bruselas. “Está muy claro que se necesitan más pasos”, ha opuesto la canciller alemana, Angela Merkel. La puesta en escena que ofrecieron las dos cabezas visibles de la UE —el presidente de la Comisión, Jean-Claude Juncker, y el del Consejo, Donald Tusk— al término de la reunión de gobernantes revela bien la disyuntiva. Bruselas es consciente de que no ha habido progresos suficientes en el Brexit, como esperaba poder constatar en oct...

European governments are starting to say in public what they’ve long hinted in private: they don’t know how to deal with a U.K. government that is so divided on Brexit that no one knows what it wants. In unusually candid comments, Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar told the BBC on Tuesday that the government’s internal disputes made it a difficult negotiating partner. “It is quite a difficult negotiation when people who want to leave the European Union in Britain don’t really seem to agree among themselves what that actually means.” Others have also come out publicly to say what’s been hobbling negotiations, which have stalled again only weeks after Prime Minister Theresa May’s speech in Florence. That had fueled hope on the EU side that some progress could be made. A European summit on Thursday and Friday – originally slated as the date when talks would move on from the divorce settlement to future trade arrangements – will yield little on the Brexit front, with leaders p...

Brexit talks have reached a deadlock, and the U.K. is pinning its hopes on European leaders to find a way out. The problem is no-one in Europe really wants to help. EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier said he was convinced that “with political will” progress is “within our grasp” in the next two months. The Brits understood his comments as an “ elegant cry for help ” aimed at European leaders, Bloomberg’s Tim Ross reports. Others saw it differently, with the onus put firmly on the U.K.’s squabbling government to find something else to offer. As EU leaders prepare to meet next week at the summit that was initially penciled in as the start of trade talks, the 27 countries are maintaining a united front. Their position is unchanged: the U.K. needs to make clear its intentions on the financial settlement before the future relationship can be discussed. Prime Minister Theresa May is vulnerable, and could even be toppled and succeeded by a hardliner, but even that prospect is...

Just as it looked like she’d won a reprieve, Theresa May said the unthinkable . Risking the wrath of her Tory colleagues and shredding the Brexit credentials she has spent more than a year building, she told a radio talk show that if there were another referendum she’d have to think about how she’d vote. “I voted Remain, for good reasons at the time but circumstances move on,” she said on LBC Radio . “I’m being open and honest with you—what I did last time round was I looked at everything and came to a judgment, and I’d do exactly the same this time round—but we’re not having another referendum and that’s absolutely crucial.” She was savaged on Twitter, not least by ex-UKIP leader Nigel Farage—another LBC host— who said she wasn’t the right person to deliver Brexit. But that’s not all: May’s deputy Damian Green then said he thought the U.K. would be better off inside the bloc. Both insisted there would be no second referendum, so it’s all academic. Any sug...

Prime Minister Theresa May is hoping to make some progress on Brexit this week even as the political plotting at home makes it increasingly unlikely that she’ll survive long enough to ink the final deal. But there’s a glimmer of hope for the U.K. as its negotiating team heads back to Brussels: the tight unity of the EU27 could be about to show some cracks, Bloomberg’s Ian Wishart reports. The European side has all but ruled out moving on to trade talks at the leaders’ summit next week, and diplomats say some governments are blocking proposals to allow discussion of the transition deal that U.K. businesses urgently need. While the 27 governments have been united so far, that consensus may not hold if trade talks are postponed beyond December, according to the diplomats. Countries including the Netherlands and Denmark are keen to open trade talks as soon as possible. “In any political negotiations, there is not enough time, not enough money, not enough this, not enough that,”...